New Zealand “Buyback” Report: 38,192

Previous reports

Kiwis, by and large, are still not giving up their property to authorities who have failed to protect them.

Here are last month’s numbers in comparison to the latest NZP official numbers.

Cat A banned: 26,095
Cat E banned: 4,408
Total: 30,503
Program cost is averaging NZ$2037.22 per firearm (up)
Estimated total cost at NZ$488,932,983 (up)

Cat A Banned: 32,470
Cat E banned: 5,722
Total: 38,192
Program cost is averaging NZ$2042.73 per firearm (up)
Estimated total cost (assuming complete compliance) at NZ$490,255,200 (up)

Running Compliance total: 15.9% (using last .gov estimate of 240,000 firearms)

However, they are now reporting modified firearms, as well: 1,421; which raises compliance to 16.5%.

Cat E compliance: 39.5% (using estimate of 14,500 firearms). Over 60% of registered owners of registered Cat E firearms are not complying yet.

Projection: They are averaging 3.3% compliance per month, for 5 months. I guesstimate 19.8% final compliance if rates remain steady.

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NZ “Buyback” Report: 22,310

Previous reports

As of September 25, 2019:

Not so fast. 24,073 is the total turned in. 1,763 of those aren’t even prohibited, and they may not have been paid for. The number of banned firearms is 22,310.

Now that I’m getting more specific data, I can do better compliance estimates. The most recent government estimate of the number of affected firearms is 240,000.

That means that with less than three months to go, they have an overall 9.3% compliance rate. Continue reading

New Zealand “Buyback” Report: Preliminary August Numbers

Previous Reports:

  1. Guess the number of NZ guns affected by the confiscation law
  2. New Zealand Confiscation Update

Preliminary numbers for the second month of NZ firearm buybacks are in, and it doesn’t look good for the victim disarmers. (These are early numbers; I hope to see more refined results in coming days.)

How many have they collected?

“about 15,000”

How much have they paid out?

“more than $23 million”

Continue reading

Commenting on Compromise

Over at The Zelman Partisans, I noted that Davey Piglet’s “compromise” on semi-auto bans (NFA registration as machineguns) is no compromise, because firearm owners lose more, and gain nothing. A commenter disagreed.

I hate to piss in your Cheerios this early in the day, but I’m thinking that you’re the ones who are misconstruing the word “compromise.” While I agree 100% with your disparagement of placing autoloaders on the NFA register, compared to the statements of some of our wannabe Democratic Presidential candidates about outlawing and confiscating all such weapons, placing them on the NFA register is, indeed, a compromise.

What he describes is a compromise between victim disarmers. Piglet proposes a compromise of registration (for the submissive) vs. killing (Swallows) or imprisoning (Gillibrand et al) those who respect rights.

Continue reading

New Zealand Confiscation Update

The first month of the NZ MSSA Amnesty is past, and the results are in.

“Buyback” Events: 90
Firearms turned in: 10,242
Average firearms/event: 113

This isn’t looking good for the government. As previously noted, there are a rough-guesstimated 158,730 affected guns.

Overall running compliance rate: 6.45%

Continue reading